AG2 TROPICAL REPORT LATE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE SEASON PROG TO FORECAST 115 KNOTS HURRICANE "CYCLONE"

AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//RMKS/1. TROPICAL
CYCLONE 21S (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 001B CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 10.9S 72.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES
AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM POSITION BASED ON
CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S 72.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 10.9S 71.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM
NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08
KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 11.1S 69.7E MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.6S 68.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM
NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10
KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 12.0S
65.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
--- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 12.5S 62.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
S$

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