AG2 TROPICAL REPORT April 7 2013

TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON
ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY ---
WARNING POSITION: 071800Z --- NEAR 11.2S 68.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX
HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND
DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S 68.2E --- FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 11.6S 66.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045
KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034
KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR
POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 11.8S
63.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
--- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 12.0S 61.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF
050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030
NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS,
VALID AT: 091800Z --- 12.6S 60.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT,
GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT
WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT
WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT
WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR
POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 13.5S
59.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT 627 NAUTICAL MILES
EAST EAST NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA
S$

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